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On Monday we could underline the following fundamental aspects...
Recovery of the EUR/USD long positions amid the outcomes of the G20 Ministerial Meeting in Seoul. Basically, the fact that no harsh announcements followed after the summit is already considered as a positive factor in terms of the situation with the risk appetite. This can be seen by the dynamics of European (FTSE +0.75%, CAC +0.57%, DAX +0.78%, 10:35 cet) and the US (futures on S&P500 +12bp) stock...
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Fundamental Analysis
25.10.2010 FX, Treasuries: important signals!
October 25, 2010 - 10:33
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It’s about time to think of the prospects for the year 2011 on the financial markets and Forex in particular. Personally we have the following main trading (investment) ideas:
There won’t be any recession, and the recovery of the world economy will continue in the following year. Consequently, we are expecting a strong rise in the developed (DAX, S&P500) and emerging (RTS, MICEX) markets.
ECB, Fed and the Bank of England will begin a cycle of rate hike in 2011, RBA and...
25.10.2010 EUR/USD: there is no need to hurry!
October 25, 2010 - 09:55
There is a large amount of controversial signals in EUR/USD on Forex at the moment. However, this is far not the case which forces us to be neutral on euro or simply stay out of the market. Everything simply comes to the fact that, firstly, the EUR/USD rise potential in the short-term is limited by 100-200 points which is not significant by any means and secondly, while working out our trading ideas we try to concentrate on the trend and the fundamental base which determines long-term tendencies. This question will only get clear at the...
Friday. European session recap
October 22, 2010 - 15:33
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The US dollar is on the wave again, which is caused mainly by the investors’ unwillingness to risk (S&P500 – 6bp., FTSE -0.47%, DAX –0.23%, CAC -0.31%, 9:45 cet) amid the “hot” debates of G20 Finance Ministers at the meeting in Seoul.
To recall, the G20 Ministerial Meeting will last till tomorrow and is expected to produce a solution to the currently raging currency problems. Among the possible solutions we could underline the proposal of the American side on behalf of...
Forex: EUR/USD – rally continues!
October 22, 2010 - 10:33
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Although we do prefer to stay out of the Forex market at the moment, but still we see a number of risks presuming a recurring testing of the 1.4150 resistance in EUR/USD or even 1.4250 before the very Fed’s meeting on November 2-3.
In support of this idea we have such factors as strong “hawkish” expectations regarding a further monetary policy of the ECB, including the recent announcements of Christian Noyer saying that strong euro is not a problem. Another significant factor...
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